Cloudflare -24% Crash: Fundamentals Intact, So Why?
Cloudflare (NET) beat revenue +34% YoY yet crashed -24.3% in a single session. We decompose the 1,100 layoff, GM compression, and four contradictions, and lay out our 12M PT $225.
4 posts
Cloudflare (NET) beat revenue +34% YoY yet crashed -24.3% in a single session. We decompose the 1,100 layoff, GM compression, and four contradictions, and lay out our 12M PT $225.
Datadog (DDOG) posted a +32% revenue beat, raised FY26 guide by +7pt (19→26%), and re-accelerated its non-AI cohort, driving a +31% single-session surge (+39% cumulative). Fundamentals 11/11 green; here's how we get to a 12M PT of $230.
DigitalOcean (DOCN) printed a double beat on revenue (+22%), AI ARR up +221%, and lifted FY27 revenue guidance from ~30% to 50%+, sending the stock +40% in a single session. We assess the legitimacy of the +237% YTD, +413% 1-year run and derive a 12M price target of $185.
SanDisk (SNDK) posted +251% YoY revenue ($5.95B), 78.4% Non-GAAP GM, and $42B locked in via NBM multi-year contracts, sending shares +46.8% in 6 sessions post-earnings. We analyze the NBM model and our $1,800 12M PT.